好事过头反成坏事:加速增长与犯罪

Too much of a good thing: Accelerated growth and crime

Journal of Development Economics · 2025
被引 5
ABS 3

Abstract

本摘要源自该文的 IZA 工作论文版(2023),正式发表版可能有调整。

We document that oil-producing areas of Brazil experienced increases in crime during the period of increased economic growth driven by the 2000s oil boom. This challenges the understanding that the impact of income shocks on crime is driven primarily by the legal status of the market in question. Offshore oil production, refining, and distribution in Brazil are concentrated in large firms, without scope for income contestability. We show that various equilibrium effects of the shock – such as increased inequality, urbanization, illegal goods presence, and deterioration in public goods provision – are likely to have contributed to the increase in crime.

经济增长犯罪经济学发展经济学公共经济学