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一个减少犹豫不决的程序性模型

A procedural model of decreasing indecisiveness

Oxford Economic Papers · 2025
被引 0
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

基于Plott的发现偏好假说,建模一个初始犹豫不决的决策者通过经验逐渐发现偏好,并研究两家企业如何为一个犹豫不决的消费者竞争。

Abstract

Abstract In accordance with Plott’s Discovered Preference Hypothesis, we model a decision-maker (DM) who starts life as indecisive, and—over time and through experience—gradually resolves their indecisiveness, until they fully discover their preferences. On the basis of two well-documented behavioural regularities, we provide an axiomatization of the evolution of the DM’s preferences that results in a model of decreasing indecisiveness. In the resulting axiomatization, the DM’s preferences at period t are given by a semiorder with threshold parameter σ(t), where σ(t) is a strictly decreasing function over time periods. We next study how two firms compete in a market consisting of a single indecisive consumer, thereby illustrating how preference discovery may be shaped by strategic interactions between firms.

决策理论偏好发现行为经济学市场博弈