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基于区间的多期随机占优及其在动态投资组合中的应用

Multiperiod interval-based stochastic dominance with application to dynamic portfolios

Quantitative Finance · 2025
被引 0
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

将区间随机占优原则推广到多期场景,用于动态投资组合选择问题,通过情景树模型验证了不同占优条件在多个时期上的计算效果。

Abstract

We consider a multi-stage generalization of the interval-based stochastic dominance (ISD) principles introduced by Liu et al. [Interval-based stochastic dominance: Theoretical framework and application to portfolio choices. Ann. Oper. Res., 2021, 307, 329–361]. The ISD criterion was motivated specifically in a financial context to allow for contiguous integer SD orders on different portions of a portfolio return distribution against a benchmark distribution. A continuous spanning of SD conditions between first-, second-, and third-order stochastic dominance was introduced in that context, relying on a reference point. Here, by extending the partial order to random data processes, we apply ISD conditions to a multi-period portfolio selection problem and verify the modeling and computational implications of such an extension. Several theoretical and methodological issues arise in this case that motivate this contribution. The problem is formulated in scenario form as a multistage stochastic recourse program, and we study two possible generalizations of ISD principles in which we either enforce ISD constraints at each stage, independently from the scenario tree process evolution, or we do so conditionally along the scenario tree. We present a comprehensive set of computational results to show that, depending on the benchmark investment policy and the adopted ISD formulation, stochastic dominance conditions of first- or second-order can be enforced dynamically over a range of possible values of the reference point, and their solution carries a specific rationale. The computational constraints induced by the multistage ISD formulation are also emphasized and discussed in detail.

随机占优投资组合选择多期决策金融经济学