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含内生性的Probit和Tobit模型的边际效应

Marginal effects for probit and tobit with endogeneity

Econometrics Journal · 2025
被引 2
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

研究了在非线性模型(如IV Probit和Tobit)中,结构内生性与测量误差对边际效应的不同影响,并提出了估计边际效应边界及构建置信区间的方法。

Abstract

Summary When evaluating partial effects, it is important to distinguish between structural endogeneity and measurement errors. In contrast to linear models, these two sources of endogeneity affect partial effects differently in non-linear models. We study this issue, focusing on the instrumental variable (IV) probit and tobit models. We show that even when a valid instrumental variable is available, failing to differentiate between the two types of endogeneity can lead to either under- or overestimation of the partial effects. We develop simple estimators of the bounds on the partial effects and provide easy-to-implement confidence intervals that correctly account for both types of endogeneity. We illustrate the methods in a Monte Carlo simulation and an empirical application.

计量经济学Probit模型Tobit模型内生性工具变量