社区应对集体风险的保险决策:以农村供水基础设施维护服务为例

Community Decisions to Insure Against Collective Risk: The Case of Maintenance Services for Rural Water Infrastructure

Journal of Development Studies · 2025
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

通过在肯尼亚144个社区开展实地实验,研究社区为预防供水设施故障而投资维护服务的决策,发现集体维护投入随风险增加而上升,且实验中的风险暴露会影响数月后的真实签约意愿。

Abstract

Collective risks threaten development at the global and local level. This study presents empirical evidence on investment decisions that protect the group from future losses. We focus on community decisions to prevent potential losses associated with the breakdown of rural water infrastructure by paying for maintenance services. We conduct a novel, incentivised framed field experiment in Kenya, with 864 participants in 144 communities. Using a one-shot threshold public goods game, we estimate the causal effect of risk on investments to prevent collective losses by introducing exogenous variation in the probability of pump failure. Subsequently, we investigate whether exposure to collective risks in a game setting affects intentions to counteract these risks in the real world. Experimental results show that group contributions to collective maintenance increase with risk. This result holds when evaluating real world intentions to sign up to professional services for rural water infrastructure several months after the experiment.

集体风险农村供水基础设施维护服务投资公共品博弈