机器人对工人:来自元分析的证据

Robots vs. Workers: Evidence From a Meta‐Analysis

Journal of Economic Surveys · 2025
被引 3
人大 AABS 2

中文导读

通过元分析综合33项研究(644个估计值)关于机器人化对就业和工资的影响,发现总体影响很小,但在美国、制造业和中技能职业中观察到负面效应,且存在发表偏倚。

Abstract

ABSTRACT This study conducts a meta‐analysis to assess the effects of robotization on employment and wages, synthesizing the evidence from 33 studies (644 estimates) on employment and a subset of 19 studies (195 estimates) on wages. The results challenge the alarmist narrative about the risk of widespread technological unemployment, suggesting that the overall relationship between robotization and employment or wages is minimal. However, the effects are far from uniform, with adverse outcomes observed in specific contexts, such as the United States, manufacturing sectors, and middle‐skilled occupations. The analysis also identifies a publication bias favoring negative wage effects, though correcting for this bias confirms the negligible impact of robotization.

机器人化就业工资元分析