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极端高温与社会动态适应:来自中国的理论与证据

Extreme high temperatures and adaptation by social dynamics: Theory and evidence from China

Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization · 2025
被引 10 · 同刊同年前 1%
ABS 3

中文导读

利用中国城市高频社会公共事件数据,发现极端高温显著增加社会合作,且这种适应行为抵消了近10%的极端高温负面经济影响,对政策制定者评估气候变化适应策略有参考价值。

Abstract

Using a novel city-level high-frequency panel dataset of social and public events in Chinese cities, we document that extreme high temperatures significantly reshape social dynamics. Extreme high temperatures increase social cooperation, and the effects are more pronounced when labor productivity is lower and environmental awareness is higher. Our estimates, combined with a quantitative model, indicate that humanity adapts to climate change in part by reshaping social dynamics. Adaptation offsets nearly 10% of the negative economic impacts of extreme high temperatures. Our quantitative analysis suggests that directly subsidizing cooperation is the most effective strategy for mitigating the adverse effects of extreme high temperatures.

气候变化社会动态经济地理行为适应中国城市