估值与长期增长预期

Valuation and Long-Term Growth Expectations

Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis · 2025
被引 0
人大 AFT50ABS 4

中文导读

研究了长期增长预期如何影响企业估值,发现市场未充分反映长期增长信息,高预期增长公司可获得超额收益。

Abstract

Abstract Long-term growth expectations are central to investment analysis and corporate valuation. Despite a dominant effect on firm value, the academic literature and practitioner conventions provide little guidance on determining this long-term growth rate. This article takes a step in addressing this gap: we estimate the relationship between long-term growth and an extensive selection of firm, industry, and market characteristics. Market prices do not seem to fully capture long-term growth information. Cross sectional tests yield substantial positive abnormal returns for firms with high expected long-term growth.

长期增长预期企业估值市场定价异常收益