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终身年金、重大疾病保险和长期护理保险的需求

Demand for life annuities, critical illness insurance, and long‐term care insurance

Journal of Risk & Insurance · 2025
被引 3
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

构建生命周期模型评估中国城市退休人员对终身年金、重大疾病保险和长期护理保险的需求,发现低养老金者应至少将30%金融财富配置于年金,平均养老金者应至少30%配置于重大疾病保险,长期护理保险配置比例在5%至33%之间。

Abstract

Abstract We develop a rich life‐cycle model to assess the demand for life annuities, critical illness insurance, and long‐term care (LTC) insurance by retirees in a portfolio‐allocation setting. We calibrate our model to urban China, where retirees face limited public insurance and undeveloped private markets. We show that retirees with a low public pension should allocate at least 30% of their financial wealth at retirement to a life annuity. Those with an average pension should allocate at least 30% to critical illness insurance. The allocation to LTC insurance ranges from 5% to 33% across all economic profiles considered. Access to critical illness and LTC insurance does not necessarily increase annuity demand. However, access to annuities decreases LTC insurance demand. Our results suggest that countries with limited public insurance should first ensure the adequacy of retirement income and then focus on covering catastrophic medical expenses while providing basic LTC services for all.

保险需求生命周期模型退休规划中国城市