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具有S型效用和ε-污染的行为动态投资组合选择

Behavioral dynamic portfolio selection with S-shaped utility and epsilon-contaminations

European Journal of Operational Research · 2025
被引 1
ABS 4

中文导读

受累积前景理论启发,提出一种通过两个ε-污染参考概率测度来建模收益和损失不确定性的CPT类函数,用于有限期二项式市场模型中的动态投资组合选择,并通过市场数据示例和敏感性分析讨论模型。

Abstract

Inspired by the classical cumulative prospect theory (CPT), we propose a CPT-like functional characterized by the modeling of uncertainty on gains and losses through two epsilon-contaminations of a reference probability measure. Such functional is used to perform a dynamic portfolio selection in a finite horizon binomial market model, reducing it to an iterative search problem over the set of optimal solutions of a family of pairs of non-linear optimization problems on the final wealth. Despite the computational hardness of the resulting pairs of problems, epsilon-contaminations allow to represent each solution in terms of the partition generated by the stock price random variable at maturity, obtaining a sensible reduction of variables and constraints. In turn, the optimization task can be reduced to the maximization of a real-valued function of one real variable, revealing the possible ill-posedness of the problem. The resulting model is discussed by means of some paradigmatic examples on market data and a sensitivity analysis.

行为金融投资组合选择动态优化不确定性建模