Hamas's October 7 Attack: Analysis of an “Antagonistic” Crisis
本文运用危机管理理论，分析2023年10月7日哈马斯袭击事件，探讨以色列为何未能预警、政府应对逻辑以及危机类型，提出“对抗性危机”概念。
ABSTRACT The aim of the article is to interpret the Hamas attack of October 7, 2023 in light of crisis management theories, seeking to draw from this event some general lessons about the nature of crises, their determinants, and how they are managed. More specifically, the article addresses three questions: (1) Why did Israel underestimate the warning signs and fail to prevent the attack? (2) What decision‐making logic did the Israeli government adopt in responding to the attack? (3) What kind of crisis is the one being analyzed? In the article, it is proposed to adopt the category of “antagonistic crises,” that is of crises that are caused by human beings, who act intentionally with the stated goal of getting the other party into trouble. The logic of appropriateness is used to interpret the response to the attack by the Netanyahu government.