对冲风险太大:关于窄框定的实验

Too risky to hedge: An experiment on narrow bracketing

Experimental Economics · 2025
被引 2
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

通过实验室实验研究个体在投资与对冲决策中的窄框定程度,发现多数人部分受窄框定影响,忽视此点会高估其严重性并误解与个体特征的关系。

Abstract

Abstract Narrow bracketers who are myopic in specific decisions would fail to consider preexisting risks in investment and neglect hedging opportunities. Growing evidence has demonstrated the relevance of narrow bracketing. We take a step further in empirical investigation and study individual heterogeneity in narrow bracketing. Specifically, we use a lab experiment in investment and hedging that elicits subjects’ preferences on rich occasions to uncover the individual degree of narrow bracketing without imposing distributional assumptions. Combining prospect theory and narrow bracketing can explain our findings: Subjects who invest more also insure more, and subjects insure significantly less in the loss domain than in the gain domain. More importantly, we show that the distribution of the individual degree of narrow bracketing is skewed at two extremes, yet with a substantial share of people in the middle who partially suffer from narrow bracketing. Neglecting this aspect, we would overestimate the severity of narrow bracketing and misinterpret its relation with individual characteristics.

窄框架投资决策对冲前景理论