支持巴西新兴海上风电行业可持续港口选址的多准则方法

A multiple criteria methodology for sustainable port location selection to support the emerging Brazilian offshore wind sector

Journal of the Operational Research Society · 2025
被引 3
ABS 3

中文导读

提出一个九阶段多准则框架,用于在多个利益相关者和标准下做出战略性的港口选址决策,并以巴西东北部海上风电港口选址为例验证了该方法。

Abstract

This paper proposes a methodology for situations where strategic, large-scale, difficult to reverse decisions need to be made in the presence of multiple criteria and stakeholders. A novel nine-stage framework is proposed that contributes to the discrete multi-criteria paradigm by allowing a more holistic approach to the analysis of the underlying decision. This is achieved by introducing an underlying distance metric to allow for the consideration of balance between the criteria and a revised form of sensitivity analysis. The specific case study of the location of the offshore wind port in North-Eastern Brazil, a region that has good offshore wind potential but lacks sufficient infrastructure is developed. A hierarchical sustainability network of relevant infrastructural, socioeconomic, environmental, and physical characteristic criteria and sub-criteria is built by preferential elicitation from regional stakeholders. The proposed methodology is applied in order to analyze four potential port site locations in depth. The effect of the enhanced sensitivity analysis and consideration of balance between criteria is demonstrated by the results. The methodology is hence shown to lead to a more informed choice of port location. The paper concludes by drawing conclusions with respect to the use, limitations and potential further research development of the proposed methodology.

港口选址海上风电多准则决策可持续性巴西