基于句子级解释的文本与表格数据的企业破产预测

Business Failure Prediction From Textual and Tabular Data With Sentence-Level Interpretations

Annals of Operations Research · 2025
被引 5 · 同刊同年前 7%
ABS 3

中文导读

提出一个结合数值和句子级文本特征的可解释模型,通过注意力机制识别与破产相关的句子,在银行、保险等高风险领域有应用价值。

Abstract

Abstract Business failure prediction models are crucial in high-stakes domains like banking, insurance, and investing. In this paper, we propose an interpretable model that combines numerical and sentence-level textual features through a well-known attention mechanism. Our model demonstrates competitive performance across various metrics, and the attention weights help identify sentences intuitively linked to business failure, offering a form of interpretability. Furthermore, our findings highlight the strength of traditional financial ratios for business failure prediction while textual data—particularly when represented as keywords—is mainly useful to correctly classify corporate disclosures where the possibility of failure is explicitly mentioned.

企业破产预测自然语言处理可解释人工智能金融风险