Credit rating and stock return comovement
研究发现信用评级相似的公司,尤其是高收益公司,其股票收益存在强联动;公司降级至高收益后,与高收益公司联动增强,与投资级公司联动减弱,这不能用基本面变化解释,而可能与投资者客户群效应有关。
Firms with similar credit ratings, particularly high-yield ones, exhibit strong comovement in stock returns . After a firm is downgraded to high-yield status, it comoves more with other high-yield firms and less with investment-grade ones, a pattern not fully explained by changes in fundamentals or other firm characteristics. We find evidence that suggests the investor clientele explanation for rating-related comovement, potentially arising from heterogeneous lottery preferences. High-yield-averse funds reduce their holdings of firms being downgraded to high-yield status, particularly those that are more lottery-like, much more significantly than high-yield-prone funds. Furthermore, a firm’s stock returns become sensitive to flows into high-yield-prone funds after being downgraded to high-yield status, consistent with the price impact of rating-based category investing.