Retrospectives: Yair Mundlak and the Fixed Effects Estimator
回顾Yair Mundlak的生平及其1961年论文如何通过固定效应估计量解决农业生产力研究中的管理偏差问题，并讨论固定效应与随机效应之争及其对应用经济学的影响。
We discuss Yair Mundlak’s (1927—2015) contribution to econometrics through the lens of the fixed effects estimator. We set the stage by discussing Mundlak’s life and his seminal 1961 article in the Journal of Farm Economics, showing how it was looking at the right application — the study of agricultural productivity, which had hitherto been thought to be marred by the presence of management bias — that led Mundlak to use the fixed effects estimator. After discussing Mundlak’s contribution, we briefly discuss the historical economic and statistical contexts in which he made that contribution. We then highlight the dialogue that took place between the proponents of fixed versus random effects and discuss how Mundlak settled the debate in his 1978 Econometrica article. We conclude by discussing how, between fixed and random effects, the fixed effects estimator won the day, becoming the de facto estimator of choice among applied economists because of the Credibility Revolution, culminating in the popularity nowadays of difference-in-differences designs and of two-way fixed effects estimators.