对中央银行的信任

Trust in Central Banks

Journal of Economic Surveys · 2025
被引 1
人大 AABS 2

中文导读

综述了信任对央行成功实施货币政策的重要性,分析了信任的决定因素、下降原因及提升方法,并强调需持续监测信任水平。

Abstract

ABSTRACT Trust in the central bank is an essential ingredient for a successful conduct of monetary policy. However, for many central banks trust has recently declined, for instance in the wake of the post‐pandemic inflation surge, due to large errors in central banks’ inflation forecasts, or given problems when exiting from forward guidance. The rapid, substantial, and persistent erosion of trust makes it clear that trust needs to be earned continuously. This paper reviews why trust is important, what determines it and how central banks can enhance it. It also argues that it is important for central banks to improve the measurement and monitoring of trust. It ends by highlighting some future challenges for maintaining trust.

中央银行信任货币政策通胀预测前瞻指引