Persisting Disadvantages: A Study of the Dynamics of Cumulative Deprivation
利用澳大利亚HILDA调查2005-2021年数据，分析累积剥夺的动态及其社会经济梯度，发现过去剥夺显著预测未来剥夺，教育、性别、就业和为人父母是关键决定因素。
ABSTRACT Identifying populations at risk of deprivation is crucial for effective policy design. Yet, much existing research focuses on single aspects, such as income or material deprivation, and often abstracts from deprivation dynamics. This study addresses this gap by analyzing the dynamics and socio‐economic gradient of cumulative deprivation using data from the 2005–2021 waves of the Household, Income and Labour Dynamics in Australia (HILDA) Survey. Employing copula‐based techniques and two estimation techniques—a Conditional Maximum Likelihood Estimator (CMLE) and a two‐stage Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) procedure—the analysis reveals significant state dependence, where past cumulative deprivation strongly predicts future deprivation. Schooling, gender, employment, and parenthood emerge as key determinants. These findings underscore the importance of adopting multidimensional and temporal perspectives on deprivation, offering critical insights for more targeted and effective policy interventions.