环境世代交叠增长模型中的气候通胀与货币政策

Climateflation and Monetary Policy in an Environmental OLG Growth Model

Environmental & Resource Economics · 2025
被引 2
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

构建世代交叠模型,研究货币非中性时泰勒规则对利率的管理如何影响环境质量与宏观经济,发现央行通过个体跨期优化影响财富构成,打破货币长期中性假设。

Abstract

Abstract Central banks are gradually acknowledging that climate change can potentially impact price stability, and the term climateflation has entered the vocabulary of policymakers. The present paper contributes to the emerging literature around this concept. We develop an Overlapping Generations (OLG) model to study the interplay between conventional monetary policy and the environment when the so-called “independence hypothesis” does not hold, i.e. money is not neutral in the long run. We aim to provide some initial insights on the macroeconomic and environmental implications of using a Taylor rule to manage interest rates under two critical assumptions. First, environmental quality (degradation) has a positive (negative) externality on production through a damage function. Second, we innovate by linking the environment to inflation through expectations in a modified Phillips curve. Central banks shape wealth composition via the individual’s intertemporal optimisation problem, breaking the “independence hypothesis”. Numerical experiments allow us to assess the relationship between environmental quality and economic activity when (i) expectations are more responsive to climateflation , (ii) the monetary authority responds strongly to inflation deviations from its target, (iii) there is an increase in the inflation target, and (iv) whether fiscal policy is green expansionary.

气候通胀泰勒规则代际交叠模型环境外部性