基于高阶矩的宏观计量识别方法

Identification Based on Higher Moments in Macroeconometrics

Annual Review of Economics · 2025
被引 4
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

综述了基于结构冲击异方差性和非高斯性的两种高阶矩识别策略,涵盖参数与非参数实现、实证应用及弱识别等关键问题,适合宏观计量研究者快速把握该领域进展。

Abstract

In the last two decades, identification based on higher moments has attracted increasing theoretical attention and been widely adopted in empirical practice in macroeconometrics. This article reviews two parallel strands of the literature. The first is identification strategies based on heteroskedasticity of the structural shocks, which can provide additional covariance equations. The second exploits non-Gaussianity more generally of the structural shocks for identification, generally under the assumption of independence, based on the mature independent components analysis literature. I describe in detail the seminal identification results and discuss recent extensions. For each scheme, I describe parametric and nonparametric implementations and highlight prominent empirical applications. I also discuss key issues for the adoption of such strategies, including weak identification and the interpretability of statistically identified structural shocks. I further outline key areas of ongoing research, such as the blending of multiple sources of identifying information.

高阶矩识别异方差性非高斯性独立成分分析结构冲击