重新审视时间不一致偏好的非参数分析

Revisiting the Non-Parametric Analysis of Time-Inconsistent Preferences

Review of Economic Studies · 2025
被引 0
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

指出Blow等人对时间不一致偏好的非参数检验过于宽松,存在无法被理性化的数据也能通过检验的问题,并提出了更严格的检验方法。

Abstract

Abstract We revisit the recent revealed preference analysis of sophisticated quasi-hyperbolic consumers by Blow et al. [(2021), “Non-parametric Analysis of Time-Inconsistent Preferences”, The Review of Economic Studies, 88, 2687–2734] (BBC). We show that BBC’s revealed preference test is too lax. There are non-rationalizable data that would pass their test. A basic problem with their test is that it requires finding a certain endogenous elasticity, without regard to the rationalizing utility. Their approach motivates a more stringent test, also based on first-order conditions, that would connect the endogenous elasticity and utility: We show that this test is also too lax. Aside from testing, we also discuss the possibility of recovering model parameters. We show that, even when discount factors are exactly identified, the approach followed in BBC allows for incorrect parameter values to lie in their identified set.

非参数检验时间不一致偏好准双曲线贴现显示偏好