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语气距离:管理层语气分歧与市场对盈余公告的反应

Tone Distance: Managerial Tone Divergence and Market Reaction to Earnings Announcements

Financial Review · 2025
被引 0
ABS 3

中文导读

研究发现盈余电话会议中管理层语气分歧(语气距离)越大,公告期间市场回报越低,但能正向预测未来股票月回报,表明投资者将其视为未来业绩的信息泄露。

Abstract

ABSTRACT We evaluate the market reaction to the between‐manager variance of tone within an earnings call, which we term Tone Distance. We find that greater differences in Tone Distance are negatively associated with event period returns surrounding earnings announcements. Consistent with the notion that Tone Distance is informative, we show that Tone Distance is a positive predictor of stock volatility, information uncertainty, and operational risks. Tone Distance is inversely related to future growth prospects. Tone Distance also positively predicts monthly stock returns following the earnings announcement. We find that Tone Distance is robust to a variety of alternative constructions and after accounting for analyst tone. Overall, the results are consistent with investors interpreting greater Tone Distance as an information leakage related to the future performance of the firm.

盈余公告管理层语气市场反应信息不确定性股票波动