汇率与全球贸易的金融渠道

The Financial Channel of the Exchange Rate and Global Trade

Review of Financial Studies · 2025
被引 1
人大 AFT50UTD24ABS 4*

中文导读

研究发现美元升值会提高非美元国家的进口价格并减少进口量,且当出口国海外美元借款越多时该效应越强,揭示了汇率影响贸易的金融渠道。

Abstract

Abstract This paper provides evidence that the U.S. dollar affects trade through a financial channel of the exchange rate. Using global data over three decades, we show that dollar appreciation increases import prices and decreases import quantities for non-U.S. dollar countries. In line with a financial channel, these effects are stronger when the exporting country borrows more in U.S. dollars abroad. The financial channel was active before the global financial crisis, has strengthened since, and operates independently of the dominant currency invoicing channel. Instrumenting the dollar is key to uncovering the full effect of the financial channel.

美元汇率金融渠道国际贸易进口价格