创业研究中的奈特不确定性:回顾与展望

Knightian Uncertainty in Entrepreneurship Research: Retrospect and Prospect

ENTREPRENEURSHIP THEORY AND PRACTICE · 2025
被引 10
人大 AFT50ABS 4

中文导读

这篇综述分析了60年来7个学科238篇关于奈特不确定性的文献,发现学科内共识多但跨学科整合不足,建议创业研究者借鉴经济学和决策科学的定义与理论,推动多层次跨学科研究。

Abstract

While Knightian uncertainty (KU) has been central to entrepreneurship research for over half a century, there remains a lack of consensus on how to define, apply, and learn from the concept. We argue that, despite the apparent fragmentation of views and theories, there has been significant and valuable knowledge accumulation around KU that can inform entrepreneurship research. Reviewing 238 articles published over the past 60 years across seven disciplines, we find that (1) there is considerable congruity in how KU is discussed within, but not across, disciplines and at micro, meso, and macro levels of analysis; (2) cross-fertilization and integration of interdisciplinary insights exist but are insufficiently explored by entrepreneurship researchers; (3) progress in understanding and analyzing uncertainty may come primarily from multi-level, interdisciplinary analysis; and (4) entrepreneurship researchers may benefit from engaging the definitions and theories of uncertainty from neighboring fields like economics and decision science. We suggest a variety of research questions to unite different disciplines across levels of analysis to create a more integrated research agenda for KU in entrepreneurship studies.

创业研究奈特不确定性跨学科分析经济学决策科学