🌙

系统性风险与油价波动冲击

Systemic risk and oil price volatility shocks

Journal of Financial Stability · 2025
被引 4
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

研究不同类型油价波动冲击对美国企业系统性风险的影响,发现供给驱动或特质性冲击降低风险,而需求驱动冲击则相反,且供应链网络会放大后者的影响。

Abstract

We examine the impact of different types of oil price volatility shocks on firm’s systemic risk using a large panel dataset of US firms. Oil price volatility shocks occur due to changes in supply or demand for oil, or through idiosyncratic fluctuations of oil prices. Our findings indicate that the supply-driven or idiosyncratic oil price volatility shocks reduce systemic risk, whereas demand-driven shocks have the opposite effect. Large-cap and high-beta firms amplify the impact of oil price volatility shocks on firms’ systemic risk. Importantly, firms with extensive supply chain networks exacerbate systemic risk when facing demand-driven oil price volatility shocks.

金融经济学宏观经济学能源经济学风险管理