韧性COVID-19疫苗供应链:多目标管理的优化与仿真方法

Resilient COVID-19 vaccine supply chain: An optimization and simulation approach for multi-objective management

Transportation Research Part E Logistics and Transportation Review · 2025
被引 8
ABS 3

中文导读

研究构建了一个集成优化与仿真的模型,用于提升COVID-19疫苗供应链网络的效率和韧性,通过多目标算法和案例仿真,为物流经理和政策制定者提供了减少浪费、降低成本、提高服务水平的策略。

Abstract

This study develops a comprehensive optimization-simulation model to enhance the efficiency and resilience of the COVID-19 Vaccine Supply Chain Network (VSCN). The model integrates multi-objective, multi-product, and multi-period programming to address critical decisions related to location-allocation, inventory levels, safety stock, vaccine flow, and shortage, while considering stringent ultra-cold chain requirements for mRNA vaccines and wastage. Leveraging constrained multi-objective Grey Wolf Optimizer (MOGWO) and Non-Dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II), the study provides robust solutions for a wide range of problem sizes, demonstrating the superior performance of constrained MOGWO in solving high-dimensional constraints. The algorithms are fine-tuned using the Taguchi method, and their performance is validated through metrics such as MID, HV, SP, and NS, highlighting their respective strengths. A large-scale case study conducted in Iran using anyLogistix simulation software over 60 days evaluates the resiliency of the SC under disruption scenarios. Strategies like equipping specific hubs with ultra-cold chains and implementing a Min-Max inventory policy with an LTL transportation policy reduce total costs and enhance service levels. The findings emphasize the importance of demand fulfillment, waste reduction, and resource allocation, offering actionable insights for logistics managers and policymakers in the healthcare sector, such as dynamically adjusting vaccine distribution based on real-time demand, optimizing cold chain infrastructure placement, and prioritizing vaccination center locations based on accessibility and fair distribution considerations. This study further highlights the importance of fine-tuning delivery frequency to vaccination centers based on actual demand patterns, reducing operational costs related to storage, transportation, and wastage, improving VSC resilience to respond rapidly to disruptions, and provides strategies for minimizing operational costs, reducing wastage, and improving vaccine accessibility. This work significantly contributes to COVID-19 VSC management by presenting a holistic framework that addresses real-world complexities.

供应链管理运筹优化公共卫生计算机仿真物流管理