评论与讨论

Comments and Discussion

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity · 2024
被引 1
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

官方预算估算通常忽略立法提案对劳动、资本、生产率和产出的影响,本文讨论了动态评分(纳入这些影响)在不同政策领域的利弊,指出其更耗时且部分领域研究基础不足。

Abstract

By design, official budget estimates for legislative proposals generally exclude the proposals' likely effects on labor, capital, productivity, and output, as well as any feedback from such effects to the federal budget. Policymakers would benefit from knowing the expected sizes of those effects, and advances in research and in the estimating agencies' tools and experience have made such analysis more feasible. If Congress requested that those effects be included more often in official budget estimates—so-called dynamic scoring of legislation—the advantages and disadvantages would vary across policy areas. For some areas, the estimated budgetary impact of the currently excluded effects would be significantly different from the impact of the included effects. But dynamic scoring would be substantially more time-consuming than conventional scoring, and in some areas, the research base is insufficient for credible estimation.

动态评分预算估算立法影响政策评估