动态评分:关于为何、何时以及如何进行的进展报告

Dynamic Scoring: A Progress Report on Why, When, and How

Brookings Papers on Economic Activity · 2024
被引 2
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

讨论了立法提案的官方预算估计通常排除其对经济的影响,而动态评分能更全面地反映这些影响,但实施起来更耗时且在某些领域研究基础不足。

Abstract

ABSTRACT: By design, official budget estimates for legislative proposals generally exclude the proposals' likely effects on labor, capital, productivity, and output, as well as any feedback from such effects to the federal budget. Policymakers would benefit from knowing the expected sizes of those effects, and advances in research and in the estimating agencies' tools and experience have made such analysis more feasible. If Congress requested that those effects be included more often in official budget estimates—so-called dynamic scoring of legislation—the advantages and disadvantages would vary across policy areas. For some areas, the estimated budgetary impact of the currently excluded effects would be significantly different from the impact of the included effects. But dynamic scoring would be substantially more time-consuming than conventional scoring, and in some areas, the research base is insufficient for credible estimation.

动态评分预算估算宏观经济反馈政策领域差异