人工智能、任务、技能与工资:来自德国的工人层面证据

Artificial intelligence, tasks, skills, and wages: Worker-level evidence from Germany

RESEARCH POLICY · 2025
被引 8 · 同刊同年前 10%
人大 AFT50ABS 4*

中文导读

研究了德国过去二十年新技术如何改变职业的任务和技能内容,并发现人工智能和机器人对不同活动和技能有替代作用,且人工智能暴露与工资正相关。

Abstract

This paper examines how new technologies are linked to changes in the content of work and individual wages. As a first step, it documents novel facts on task and skill changes within occupations over the past two decades in Germany. We furthermore reveal a distinct relationship between ex-ante occupational work content and ex-post exposure to artificial intelligence (AI) and automation (robots). Workers in occupations with high AI exposure perform different activities and face different skill requirements compared to workers in occupations exposed to robots, suggesting that robots and AI are substitutes for different activities and skills. We also document that changes in the task and skill content of occupations is related to ex-ante exposure to technologies. Finally, the study uses individual labour market biographies to investigate the relationship between AI and wages. By exploring the dynamic influence of AI exposure on individuals over time, the study uncovers positive associations with wages, with nuanced variations across occupational groups, thereby shedding further light on the substitutability and augmentability of AI.

劳动经济学人工智能技能与工资职业变迁