往返式汽车共享的定价优化

Price optimization for round trip car sharing

European Journal of Operational Research · 2025
被引 2
ABS 4

中文导读

用连续时间马尔可夫链模型描述往返式汽车共享车队使用情况,通过解析和仿真优化模型找出最优小时租金,最大化预期收入,并分析客户到达率、支付意愿等对定价策略的影响。

Abstract

Car sharing, car clubs and short-term rentals could support the transition toward net zero but their success depends on them being financially sustainable for service providers and attractive to end users. Dynamic pricing could support this by incentivizing users while balancing supply and demand. We describe the usage of a round trip car sharing fleet by a continuous time Markov chain model, which reduces to a multi-server queuing model where hire duration is assumed independent of the hourly rental price. We present analytical and simulation optimization models that allow the development of dynamic pricing strategies for round trip car sharing systems; in particular identifying the optimal hourly rental price. The analytical tractability of the queuing model enables fast optimization to maximize expected hourly revenue for either a single fare system or a system where the fare depends on the number of cars on hire, while accounting for stochasticity in customer arrival times and durations of hire. Simulation optimization is used to optimize prices where the fare depends on the time of day or hire duration depends on price. We present optimal prices for a given customer population and show how the expected revenue and car availability depend on the customer arrival rate, willingness-to-pay distribution, dependence of the hire duration on price, and size of the customer population. The results provide optimal strategies for pricing of car sharing and inform strategic managerial decisions such as whether to use time- or state-dependent pricing and optimizing the fleet size.

汽车共享动态定价排队论运营管理交通工程