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一种资产无法适用于所有情况:按指数和期限进行通胀对冲

One Asset Does Not Fit All: Inflation Hedging by Index and Horizon

Journal of Financial Econometrics · 2025
被引 0
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

使用时间序列模型估计多种资产和组合在不同通胀指数及1个月至30年期限下的对冲能力,发现没有通用的通胀对冲方法,且2021-2023年通胀期间许多历史对冲关系失效。

Abstract

Abstract Using time-series models, we estimate the inflation-hedging ability of various assets and portfolios, for multiple inflation indices at horizons from one month to 30 years. There is no one-size-fits-all approach to inflation hedging. Food and energy prices comove strongly with commodities and certain stock portfolios, but non-housing service prices and wages are not highly correlated with any financial asset. Inflation-linked bonds and swaps are good hedges for headline CPI at horizons matching their maturities, but they can perform poorly at other horizons and for other price indices. During the inflationary period of 2021–2023, many historical hedging relationships failed.

经济学金融经济学资产定价通货膨胀