Sailing the stormy seas: Energy hedge funds strategy innovation, and market uncertainties
研究了能源对冲基金的特质波动与全球经济、气候及能源市场不确定性之间的关系,发现负相关关系,并揭示了非线性交互作用,对投资者和风险管理有参考价值。
This paper examines the relationship between idiosyncratic volatility of energy hedge funds and a range of uncertainty measures relevant to the global energy markets. Using GARCH-family models, we find a consistent negative relationship between idiosyncratic volatility and economic, climate, and energy market uncertainties. This evidence points to specialist hedge funds developing innovative hedging capabilities during energy markets transformation toward the net zero and idiosyncratic volatility associated with it, with commodity strategies demonstrating a stronger effect. Our analysis reveals non-linear interactions: increased climate policy uncertainty during high economic policy uncertainty periods is associated with larger decreases in idiosyncratic volatility. Additionally, simultaneous success of bond and commodity trend-following strategies corresponds with substantial reductions in idiosyncratic volatility, suggesting synergistic risk-management benefits.