英国脱欧对劳动力需求的真实影响:基于企业层面数据的证据

The Real effects of Brexit on labor demand: Evidence from firm-level data

Journal of International Economics · 2025
被引 2
人大 AABS 4

中文导读

利用2016年公投后未搬迁的英国企业与爱尔兰边境的距离,研究发现2020年脱欧实施使受影响企业平均裁员高达15.7%,且这些企业增长预期更低、研发支出增加,而事前贸易敞口可缓解负面效应。

Abstract

Using the distance to the Irish border of UK firms that have not changed their location since the 2016 Referendum to isolate the effects of Brexit at the firm level, we find that Brexit implementation in 2020 caused exposed firms to cut their workforce by up to 15.7% on average relative to non-exposed firms. These exposed firms are also more likely to have lower growth expectations and more likely to increase their research and development (R&D) expenditure. In addition, having ex-ante trade exposure, either with or outside the EU, can help alleviate such negative effects of Brexit. Such results highlight the role of trade exposure and the expectation channel, and support the hypothesis that firms prioritize innovations in response to Brexit.

Brexit劳动力需求贸易暴露企业创新