🌙

战后国际贸易壁垒的构建:争端解决机制(DRMs)能发挥作用吗?

Building the walls of international trade after war: Can dispute resolution mechanisms (DRMs) help?

Economic Inquiry · 2025
被引 0
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

研究战后国际贸易恢复中争端解决机制(如WTO和外交渠道)的作用,发现其能缓解紧张、降低政策不确定性,加速受冲突影响国家的贸易复苏。

Abstract

Abstract This paper explores how international trade recovers after war, emphasizing the role of dispute resolution mechanisms (DRMs). Wars typically prolong negative trade impacts due to heightened tensions, but DRMs—such as General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade/World Trade Organization and diplomatic exchanges—can reduce these tensions, lower policy uncertainty, and ease economic frictions, facilitating recovery. Using the gravity model, the study analyzes trade flows between countries with a history of conflict to test if DRM membership brings additional trade benefits. Results indicate that DRM membership is linked to positive trade effects for countries affected by war, likely accelerating recovery from disruptions caused by conflict.

国际贸易争端解决战后经济恢复国际经济学