什么导致了结构变化?

What causes structural change?

Oxford Review of Economic Policy · 2025
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 2

中文导读

用一个基于泰国数据的可计算一般均衡模型,检验了五种可能推动经济结构变化的因素,发现部门间生产率增速差异是最主要的原因。

Abstract

Abstract Structural change refers to long-term, systematic changes in the sectoral composition of aggregate economic output. Ordinarily, it means the contraction of agriculture relative to industry and services. We analyse its economic causes, using a small, comparative-static, empirically-based computable general equilibrium model of the economy of Thailand. Rapid structural change has occurred in that country over recent decades. We test the explanatory power of five potential contributors to structural change, suggested by simple economic theory and relevant literature: (a) differential growth rates of aggregate supplies of physical capital, labour, and land (the Rybczynski effect); (b) differential growth rates of total factor productivity between sectors; (c) changes in relative international prices; (d) changes in sectoral rates of trade protection; and (e) income growth with differences in expenditure elasticities of demand between final consumer goods (Engel's law). It is concluded that, in Thailand's case, explanation (b) dominates the other four.

结构性变化部门生产率差异要素禀赋变化恩格尔效应