离散结果模型中的反事实识别与潜变量空间枚举

Counterfactual Identification and Latent Space Enumeration in Discrete Outcome Models

Review of Economic Studies · 2025
被引 0
人大 A+FT50ABS 4*

中文导读

为离散结果模型中的反事实参数识别提供了统一框架,允许内生回归变量和多维潜变量,无需参数分布假设。当协变量离散时,潜变量分布可简化为有限维版本,并通过超平面排列的单元格枚举算法实现。通过线性规划计算反事实参数边界,并应用于手机选择和航空公司进入博弈实例。

Abstract

Abstract This article provides a unified framework for studying the identification of counterfactual parameters in a general class of discrete outcome models, allowing for endogenous regressors and multidimensional latent variables, all without parametric distributional assumptions. Our main theoretical result is that, when the covariates are discrete, the infinite-dimensional latent variable distribution can be replaced with a finite-dimensional version that is equivalent from an identification perspective. The finite-dimensional latent variable distribution is constructed in practice by enumerating regions of the latent variable space with a new and efficient cell enumeration algorithm for hyperplane arrangements. We then show that bounds on a certain class of counterfactual parameters can be computed by solving a sequence of linear programming problems, and show how the researcher can introduce additional assumptions as constraints in the linear programmes. Finally, we apply the method to a mobile phone choice example with heterogeneous choice sets, and to an airline entry game example.

离散结果模型反事实识别潜变量枚举线性规划