利用非随机缺失数据提升预测能力

Boosting Prediction with Data Missing Not at Random

Journal of Computational and Graphical Statistics · 2025
被引 0
ABS 3

中文导读

针对响应变量缺失的数据,提出基于半参数估计的Boosting预测方法,通过调整损失函数处理缺失效应,并证明了算法收敛性和估计量一致性。

Abstract

Boosting has emerged as a useful machine learning technique over the past three decades, attracting increased attention. Most advancements in this area, however, have primarily focused on numerical implementation procedures, often lacking rigorous theoretical justifications. Moreover, these approaches are generally designed for datasets with fully observed data, and their validity can be compromised by the presence of missing observations. In this article, we employ semiparametric estimation approaches to develop boosting prediction methods for data with missing responses. We explore two strategies for adjusting the loss functions to account for missingness effects. The proposed methods are implemented using a functional gradient descent algorithm, and their theoretical properties, including algorithm convergence and estimator consistency, are rigorously established. Numerical studies demonstrate that the proposed methods perform well in finite sample settings. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.

机器学习缺失数据统计方法预测建模