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具有长期收入风险的最优退休决策

Optimal retirement with long‐run income risk

Journal of Risk & Insurance · 2025
被引 0
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

研究个人在面临非交易劳动收入和长期收入风险时,如何最优配置股票与无风险资产并决定退休时机,发现考虑长期收入风险会改变资产配置和退休年龄,有助于解释年轻低收入者少参与股市而高收入者多投资股票的现象。

Abstract

Abstract We examine an optimal portfolio problem where an individual receives nontraded labor income and must decide how to allocate her wealth between a stock and a risk‐free asset, while also determining the optimal time to retire. Specifically, we explore how incorporating long‐run income risk by assuming that labor income and stock prices are cointegrated affects both the optimal asset allocation and retirement strategy. Our findings show that accounting for long‐run income risk alters the optimal allocation to risky assets and the timing of retirement. This helps explain why younger individuals with limited wealth are less likely to participate in the stock market, whereas wealthier individuals tend to allocate more to risky assets. Moreover, our findings reveal a positive relationship between stock investment and retirement age, driven by the positive correlation between wealth at retirement and the chosen retirement age.

经济学劳动经济学金融养老金资产配置