用可检验假设扩展经济模型:理论与应用

EXTENDING ECONOMIC MODELS WITH TESTABLE ASSUMPTIONS: THEORY AND APPLICATIONS

Econometric Theory · 2025
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 4

中文导读

研究了在可检验假设被数据拒绝时如何放松假设以识别经济模型,提出了两种放松局部平均处理效应模型假设的方法,并给出了估计量和极限分布。

Abstract

This article studies the identification of complete economic models with testable assumptions. We start with a local average treatment effect ( $LATE$ ) model where the “No Defiers,” the independent IV assumption, and the exclusion restrictions can be jointly refuted by some data distributions. We propose two relaxed assumptions that are not refutable, with one assumption focusing on relaxing the “No Defiers” assumption while the other relaxes the independent IV assumption. The identified set of $LATE$ under either of the two relaxed assumptions coincides with the classical $LATE$ Wald ratio expression whenever the original assumption is not refuted by the observed data distribution. We propose an estimator for the identified $LATE$ and derive the estimator’s limit distribution. We then develop a general method to relax a refutable assumption A . This relaxation method requires finding a function that measures the deviation of an econometric structure from the original assumption A , and a relaxed assumption $\tilde {A}$ is constructed using this measure of deviation. We characterize a condition to ensure the identified sets under $\tilde {A}$ and A coincide whenever A is not refuted by the observed data distribution and discuss the criteria to choose among different relaxed assumptions.

局部平均处理效应可检验假设识别工具变量