Rents, rules, or revolution: A survey of institutional pathways to peace
综述了政治、行政和经济制度与武装冲突发生及预防的关系，总结了包容、问责的制度如何通过多种机制降低冲突风险，并探讨了冲突如何侵蚀制度质量，最后提出政策建议和研究议程。
Abstract This article reviews the growing literature on the relationship between institutions—political, administrative, and economic—and the emergence and prevention of armed conflict. We synthesize evidence showing how strong, inclusive, and accountable institutions, including democratic governance and robust state capacity, can reduce the risk of conflict through multiple mechanisms such as inclusion, deterrence, credible commitment, and the effective provision of public goods. At the same time, we examine how conflict can erode institutional quality, creating self-reinforcing cycles of fragility and underdevelopment. The review concludes with a set of policy recommendations aimed at breaking these cycles and outlines a forward-looking research agenda to deepen our understanding of how institutional reform can foster peace and resilience in fragile and conflict-prone settings.