(错误)信息扩散与金融市场

(Mis)information diffusion and the financial market

Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization · 2025
被引 2
ABS 3

中文导读

用基于智能体的模型研究社交网络中信息(含错误信息)扩散如何影响金融市场,发现网络结构可导致价格延迟吸收冲击,错误信息扩散会加剧市场无效。

Abstract

This paper investigates the interplay between information diffusion in social networks and its impact on financial markets with an Agent-Based Model (ABM). Agents receive and exchange information about an observable stochastic component of the dividend process of a risky asset à la Grossman and Stiglitz (1980). A small proportion of the network has access to a private signal about the component, which can be clean (information) or distorted (misinformation). Other agents are uninformed and can receive information only from their peers. All agents are Bayesian, adjusting their beliefs according to the confidence they have in the source of information. We examine, by means of simulations, how information diffuses in the network and provide a framework to account for delayed absorption of shocks, that are not immediately priced as predicted by classical financial models. We investigate the effect of the network topology on the resulting asset price and evaluate under which condition misinformation diffusion can make the market more inefficient.

信息扩散金融市场社交网络行为金融资产定价