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是取现还是继续持有:当银行挤兑增强韧性时

Cash out or carry on: When bank runs build resilience

Economics Letters · 2025
被引 0
人大 BABS 3

中文导读

将流动性风险纳入首次通过时间偿付模型,测量银行违约的联合概率,发现流动性风险与偿付风险相互作用在合理条件下可降低整体违约可能性,对信贷供给有重要意义。

Abstract

We integrate liquidity risk into a first passage time solvency model to measure the joint probability of bank default. Counterintuitively, we find that the interaction between liquidity and solvency risks can, under plausible conditions, lower the overall likelihood of default. This finding is significant to the supply of credit to the real economy, as it reduces the pressure on banks to scale back risk-taking by tightening lending conditions after negative liquidity shocks. As far as we know, our combined liquidity-solvency model is the first to demonstrate this stabilizing effect.

银行风险流动性风险偿付能力风险金融稳定