Identification of network effects with spatially endogenous covariates: theory, simulations, and an empirical application
研究了当个体不可观测特征与协变量在空间上相关时,如何识别和估计网络效应模型参数,提出GMM方法并通过模拟和大学同学数据验证,发现同伴效应不显著。
Conventional methods for the estimation of peer, social, or network effects are invalid if individual unobservables and covariates correlate across observations. In this article, we characterize the identification conditions for consistently estimating all the parameters of a spatially autoregressive or linear-in-means model when the structure of social or peer effects is exogenous, but the observed and unobserved characteristics of agents are cross-correlated over some given metric space. We show that identification is possible if the network of social interactions is non overlapping up to enough degrees of separation and the spatial matrix that characterizes the co-dependence of individual unobservables and covariates is known up to a multiplicative constant. We propose a GMM approach for the estimation of the model’s parameters, and we evaluate its performance through Monte Carlo simulations. Finally, we revisit an empirical application about classmates in college. Contrasting with conventional methods, our methodology can estimate zero, non significant peer effects on both academic performance and major choice.