Weather shocks, recall error and health
利用泰国农村的纵向调查数据与气象数据,研究发现调查间隔越短,家庭正确报告干旱事件的概率越高;同时,客观气象干旱指标对疾病的影响略强于主观报告指标。
A growing body of literature indicates that heat stress and precipitation deficiencies can pose a critical threat to human health, particularly in less developed countries with low coping capacities and high exposure. The aims of this study are twofold. First, we shed light on the recall of drought events in rural Thailand by linking longitudinal survey data with objective meteorological data. Here, an anomaly in the survey design serves as a natural experiment. We find that a shorter time interval between surveys has a large positive effect on households correctly reporting a drought event. Second, we examine the health effects of droughts comparing two drought measures. In our panel over seven waves, we find a strong effect on diseases, which is slightly stronger for the objective measure than when using the reported drought measure. • Heat stress and droughts cause health risks, especially in low-income countries. • A natural experiment shows that a shorter time interval improves shock recall. • Drought exposure is strongly associated with increased disease incidence. • Meteorological measures show stronger effects on health than reported droughts.