Modeling warfare between different kinds of military equipment
本文基于兰彻斯特方程,对九种军事装备间的有瞄准与无瞄准作战进行建模,模拟了5%优势方逐步消灭对手的过程,对军事分析人员和预算分配者有用。
Abstract The article analyzes, which is novel in the literature, combined aimed and unaimed as reported by Lanchester (Aircraft in warfare: the dawn of the fourth arm, Tiptree Constable and Co. Ltd., London, 1916) warfare with variable kill rates. Each group possesses nine kinds of military equipment, i.e. planes, helicopters, artillery, tanks, armored personnel carriers, guided missiles, manpowered handheld offensive weapons, submarines, and air defense systems. Each group’s artillery, tanks and armored personnel carriers are attacked by the opposing group’s artillery in unaimed as reported by Lanchester (Aircraft in warfare: the dawn of the fourth arm, Tiptree Constable and Co. Ltd., London, 1916) warfare, and also attacked by the opposing group’s other eight kinds of military equipment in aimed as reported by Lanchester (Aircraft in warfare: the dawn of the fourth arm, Tiptree Constable and Co. Ltd., London, 1916) warfare. Simulations show how one 5% stronger group gradually eliminates the opposing group. If the first group lacks planes and helicopters, it loses most of its military equipment. It degrades especially the opposing group’s artillery, tanks, armored personnel carriers and submarines. It degrades partly the opposing group’s planes, helicopters, guided missiles. It eliminates the opposing group’s manpowered handheld offensive weapons. This article is useful for military analysts, budget allocators, and others composing groups where multiple kinds of military equipment impact each other multifariously. Recommendations include prioritizing air equipment for dominance, with limitations noted for modern factors like drones and munitions.