挂牌价与“火爆”房地产市场

List prices and “hot” real estate markets

Real Estate Economics · 2025
被引 0
人大 A-ABS 3

中文导读

构建了一个微观基础模型,解释火爆房地产市场中挂牌价的策略作用,揭示出价膨胀和出价抑制两种效应如何导致挂牌价和成交价上升,并解释为何低于挂牌价的出价很少见。

Abstract

Abstract In this article, we develop a novel microfoundation for the dynamics of “hot” real estate markets, emphasizing the strategic role of list prices. Our model features partial seller commitment: sellers must accept offers at or above the list price but retain discretion to reject lower bids. This institutional feature gives rise to two key forces in equilibrium: a bid inflation effect , in which high‐valuation buyers inflate their bids to improve their chance of acceptance, and a bid discouragement effect , in which marginal buyers strategically drop their bids well below list to avoid near‐list rejections. These effects create a discontinuity in the bidding function and help account for why bids just below list are not often observed. We show that this behavior results in higher list prices, increased sales prices, and a higher sales‐to‐list price ratio as the number of buyers increases—key indicators of a hot market. Unlike many traditional models, our framework allows for sales at, above, or below list price and sheds light on how bidding behavior and pricing respond to market conditions.

挂牌价房地产热市竞价膨胀效应竞价抑制效应