乌克兰战争阴影下欧洲一体化支持的地理变迁

The changing geography of support for European integration in the shadow of the Ukraine war

Journal of European Public Policy · 2025
被引 4
ABS 3

中文导读

研究俄罗斯入侵乌克兰如何影响欧洲229个地区民众对欧洲一体化的支持,发现靠近俄罗斯边境的居民更支持共同防务、外交政策和欧盟扩大,而能源危机仅短暂提升对共同能源政策的支持。

Abstract

External crises have recently placed European governments under significant pressure, prompting deeper supranational cooperation in search of effective policy solutions. This paper investigates how such crises shape citizens' support for supranational policies, and how this effect varies geographically. We analyse the impact of Russia's invasion of Ukraine on public attitudes toward European integration across 229 regions in four key policy domains. Using geocoded data from eight Eurobarometer surveys (July 2020–June 2023) and an event-study design, we find that individuals living closer to the Russian border became more supportive of common European defence and foreign policies, as well as EU enlargement. In contrast, the energy crisis triggered only a short-lived increase in support for a common EU energy policy. These results underscore the spatial dimension of geopolitical shocks and provide evidence for a functionalist interpretation of public attitudes toward European integration.

欧洲一体化公共舆论地缘政治区域差异