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流行病学中的仓室模型:与运筹学架起桥梁以增强疫情控制

Compartmental models in epidemiology: bridging the gap with operations research for enhanced epidemic control

Annals of Operations Research · 2025
被引 2
ABS 3

中文导读

综述了SIR仓室模型的结构、参数估计方法及其与优化模型的关系,识别了研究空白,旨在帮助研究者更好地理解和控制传染病暴发。

Abstract

Abstract Compartmental models have gained significant attention not only in public health studies but also in fields such as Operations Research (OR), social sciences, and logistics, particularly following the COVID-19 pandemic. Their broad applicability in epidemiology and their utility in understanding, predicting, and controlling the global spread of infectious diseases have made them indispensable across various disciplines. The appeal of these models lies in their simplicity yet effectiveness in capturing the essential dynamics of disease transmission. This paper provides a comprehensive review of compartmental models, focusing on the Susceptible-Infectious-Recovered (SIR) models and the key aspects of their structure. The primary objective of this review is to enhance the ability of researchers and practitioners to understand and manage infectious disease outbreaks through a twofold approach: (1) an evaluation of the assumptions, equations, and methodologies used for estimating critical parameters in SIR models, and (2) an exploration of the relationship between SIR models and optimization models. Additionally, a systematic micro-level review has identified the most significant research gaps in the literature on compartmental models, leading to recommendations for future research. A key finding emphasizes the need to revisit various assumptions to clarify the connection between SIR models and optimization approaches, which is expected to offer valuable insights for epidemic disease modeling.

流行病学运筹学传染病建模SIR模型疫情控制