利用辅助人群的工具变量识别和多重稳健估计因果效应

Identification and Multiply Robust Estimation of Causal Effects via Instrumental Variables from An Auxiliary Population

Journal of the American Statistical Association · 2025
被引 0
ABS 4

中文导读

当目标人群缺乏工具变量时,利用辅助人群的工具变量来识别和估计因果效应,提出了等混杂假设并开发了多重稳健估计方法。

Abstract

Estimating causal effects in a target population with unmeasured confounders is challenging, especially when instrumental variables (IVs) are unavailable. However, IVs from auxiliary populations with similar problems can help infer causal effects in the target population. While the homogeneous conditional average treatment effect assumption has been widely used for effect transportability, it has not been explored in IV-based data fusion. We include it as a basic approach, though it may be biased when treatment effect heterogeneity exists. As an alternative approach, we introduce the equi-confounding assumption that the unmeasured confounding bias remains the same after adjusting for observed covariates, while allowing conditional average treatment effects to differ across populations. This allows us to identify the confounding bias in the auxiliary population and remove it from the treatment-outcome association in the target population to recover the causal effect. We develop multiply robust estimators under both approaches and demonstrate them through simulation studies and a real data application.

因果推断工具变量数据融合计量经济学