Heterogeneous effects of export-market preferences on deforestation in Brazil
研究欧盟和中国作为出口目的地的偏好如何影响巴西各城市的森林砍伐，发现欧盟需求减少砍伐而中国需求增加砍伐，对评估尽职调查政策有参考价值。
Abstract We investigate how preferences in the European Union (EU) and China as export destinations affect deforestation dynamics in Brazil at the municipal scale, using a shift–share measure to capture local exposure to foreign demand for soy as an instrument for soy exports. Our findings indicate that municipalities more exposed to increased EU export demand experienced a decline in deforestation compared with less exposed areas, and municipalities with greater exposure to export demand from China experienced increased deforestation compared with less exposed areas. We also examine implications for due diligence policies such as the EU Regulation on deforestation-free products.